Recent events in the
state of Jammu and Kashmir
after Afzal Guru’s hanging have brought back attention to the interlocutors
report in the media. The murder of 5 CRPF jawans in the terror attack in the
valley in March invited panic reaction about doing something to solve the Kashmir issue. No doubt continued violence in Jammu and
Kashmir is of great concern to all citizens of the country but can this
violence really be brought to an end without ever considering how to address
the source of this violence with exists across the border? India it seems
has all but conceded that it can do nothing about the infrastructure of terror
that exists across the border. We seem to have been lulled into believing that
since the violence has been reduced relative to its peak, the will to inflict
violence has also been reduced across the border too and we seem to have come
to a conclusion that somehow ignoring Pakistan’s real intentions will
make the problem go away. Without having done anything meaningful to coerce Pakistan to give up its desire to continue
support of terrorism against our country especially in J&K, we hope to
address the separatist question in Kashmir through
negotiations or through promise of more autonomy in the state.
A lot has been said
about alienation of the population especially the youth in the valley. No doubt
there has been alienation of the people in the valley from the Idea of India and
especially the views of the youth in Kashmir
are of utmost importance. Any counter insurgency action as has been mentioned
time and again by experts requires winning back the trust of the people and
disassociating the support base of the insurgents and separatists among the general
population. But questions need to be asked as to the effect that implementing suggestions
in interlocutors report is going to have on the long term interest of the
country and whether or not it will have any effect on the permanent end to
violence and secessionist politics in the state. Several aspects of the
interlocutors report have been discussed in the public domain but the primary
questions remains, will offering more autonomy make the secessionists
permanently quit the demand for secession and will no further separatist
movement will ever emerge in J&K after that?
Before we address this
question we need to be first clear about the nature of the demand from the
separatists. It is insisted by the separatists especially in front of the
international audience that their demand is of freedom and of independence. I
would argue this is not what their demand really is and it is easy to logically
derive why this is not true. Independence
is what the Indian subcontinent got in 1947 from colonial occupation thanks to the
Indian Independence movement. The movement for creation of Pakistan was not an Independence
or freedom movement it was a communal movement for separation from India based on
the so called two nation theory. The result of that movement was an unprecedented
violence in the form of communal riots which claimed 1.5 million lives in the
subcontinent and lead to a refugee crisis of over 14 million people which had
never been seen in human history before. The region which was formed as Pakistan had at
the time of partition close to 30% non Muslim religious minority population
which is today reduced to closer to 1%, thanks to that very event. The movement
in Kashmir which centers around the so called “right to self determination” is
also in similar lines not a freedom movement it is a communal movement for
separation and the first victims of this movement were the people belonging to
the minority community of Kashmir.
In the book “Integration
of Indian States” written by VP Menon he has mentioned that when Jammu and
Kashmir merged with India in 1947 it was Lord Mountbatten’s strong opinion that
given the special nature of the ethnic and religious composition of the
population in the state there should be a plebiscite held in the state to
confirm its accession to the dominion of India, after law and order had been
restored, and the state had been cleared of the Pakistani raiders which had
attacked the state to occupy it by force. This argument was agreed to by the
government of India he was
heading and formed the basis of India’s
policy during negotiations with the Pakistan government to make them
desist from trying to takeover the state by force. This policy was pursued in
the negotiations that took place both before and after India approached the UN to
seek peaceful withdrawal of Pakistan’s national and military personnel from the
state of Jammu and Kashmir but was rejected first by Jinnah who wanted to claim
the entire state based on the simplistic argument that it was Muslim majority
and hence should go to Pakistan in its entirety and later by subsequent Prime
Ministers of Pakistan who never agreed to the withdrawal of their forces from
the state.
The fact that Pakistan
was never really clearly recognized as an aggressor by UN thanks to perhaps a
mistake by the team representing India under Sir Girija Bajpai in filing the
appeal to the UN under chapter 6 of the UN charter which calls for bringing to
the attention of the UN an event of a nature of dispute rather under chapter 7
which calls upon a to the UN’s attention to an event of the nature of external aggression.
American diplomat Vincent Sheean in his book “Nehru: The years of Power” has
mentioned that in his opinion it was a technical error on the part of India
which lead to the situation where western diplomats in the UN sticky about
matters of letter rather than substance used this to treat the matter as a
dispute between two morally equal parties rather than a matter of aggression by
Pakistan as it really was. It also provided Pakistan
with an excellent opportunity to draw parity with India
and introduce all sorts of matters including the communal riots of 47 under the
pretext of genocide by India
to the debate.
For India, perhaps going to the UN
under any provision was a lose-lose proposition. Going under chapter 7 would
probably have meant that UN Security Council intervention in the form of
military presence would have become inevitable and this would also not have
been acceptable to India.
In hindsight taking the matter to the UN only ensured that Kashmir got dragged
into the international cold war politics in which Pakistan
was seen as a more reliable partner by the victors of world war rather than India. Hence in
India’s view there was
always a bias in the UN’s proceedings in favour of Pakistan which was clearly the
guilty party. Later on this internationalization also lead to the situation
where Shekh Abdullah was courted by the Americans and even the Chinese. The
Americans planted and encouraged the idea of “Independence”
with Shekh Abdullah and for the government of India
the possibility of an American base in Kashmir became a real possibility,
something which went against the non aligned foreign policy which India wanted to
pursue. This is precisely the reason why India has been wary of approaching
the UN for any such matter ever since 1948. We did not approach the UN during
any subsequent aggression by Pakistan
or during the China
war. This is also the reason why we do not encourage any third party
intervention in Indo Pakistan
relations.
India today disowns the UN resolution 47 which asked
for plebiscite in J&K. The reasons are that Pakistan never exited the area
under its control, the negotiations held with Pakistan in the 50’s failed to
arrive at an acceptable formula under which plebiscite could be held, Pakistan
over the years changed the demographics of the regions of J&K under its
control and the Shimla accord signed with Pakistan in 1974 made the UN
resolution irrelevant. But the real reason why any resolution based on
plebiscite could not be arrived at and I will assert will never be arrived at
is the realization on part of any subsequent responsible Indian government that
the very nature of the population mix of J&K which was sighted by
Mountbatten as the reason why plebiscite should be held in J&K makes it
impossible to make a just decision based on plebiscite. The fact of the matter
is that the population of J&K is ethnically, linguistically and religiously
a very diverse population living together in that state for centuries and for
that reason any referendum which is really a communal question of separation
will only be voted on communal lines, leading to complete destruction of the
social fabric of the society of J&K. The scenarios of partition in ’47 will
be repeated and will be followed by population movement and communal riots of
the worst kind in the entire country. It will essentially change the complete
nature of India
as it exists today. We will never be a secular, democratic, republic where all
diversity of population can live together and balkanization and radicalization
will follow. Such a nightmare scenario is so gross and the human tragedy that
might follow so unimaginable that no responsible person in India can ever
agree to it.
The question of
plebiscite having been dealt with as rejected in my understanding by a majority
of public opinion in the country and my arguments about the communal nature of
separatist demands having been made I would like to address the more difficult
question of autonomy which has perhaps a more divided opinion within the
country. Several people have been arguing including some political parties in
J&K, that autonomy is the solution to the separatist problem. The
interlocutors have in fact recommended making article 370 a special provision
as against a temporary provision of constitution as it exists today also they
have asked for review of all laws extended to J&K since 1953. The assembly
of J&K had also passed a resolution to that effect for even reverting to
the designation of Prime Minister and President of the state rather than the
designation of CM and Governor. They
would like the IAS and IPS officers in the state to be replaced with the state
service officers and removing the powers of national election commission, CAG
and the Supreme Court in matters of the state.
All such moves to
revert the status of government in J&K to the pre ‘53 status or close to
pre ‘53 status in various degrees will in any logical person’s opinion lead to
less integration of the state with the rest of India rather than more integration.
Any such move will not weaken the separatist demand. The core separatist demand
is not autonomy they have never asked for it and they will never be satisfied
only with it. This will only play in the hands of the separatist and extremists
who will see it as a step closer to eventual separation rather than settlement
of their concerns. This move will also lead to more complications in dealing
with other cases of insurgency in the rest of the country especially in the
north east where it will be seen that extremist violence eventually does pay
and demand for such a settlement in Nagaland and Manipur will gather steam. The
fact of the matter is that more autonomy and provisions like article 370 and
separate constitution for a state as exists in J&K is not a solution to
problems of alienation of population it is in fact is a slow poison which over
a period of time leads to degeneration of the state to a communal and identity
politics of the worst kind. It also leads to bad laws and persecution of the
minority population of the state. We have ended up creating a North Korea
like hermit state within the Union of India where people of the state are
deprived of progressive laws and progressive political movements of the rest of
the country. It has lead to a situation that the government sector is seen as
the only credible employer and lack of employment opportunities has lead to
disaffection of the people from the government. The politics of the state as we
have seen in J&K since 1947 is forever hostage to corruption, autocratic
government, petty power politics and manipulation of the people based on
ethnicity and religion. Today J&K is more ethnically and communally divided
than it was at any point in its history and the persecution of minority population
of Kashmir which is living as refugees in its
own state is not hidden from anyone. Mr Balraj Puri and Praveen Swami in a
series of articles for the frontline magazine had between 1999 and 2001 written
extensively about these issues. Autonomy of the kind the state has been given
has been seen as the main cause of such divide.
India exists because of the Idea of India which is
centered on the diversity of its population and the values of tolerance,
secularism, respect for others traditions and cultures, intermingling of
populations and economic integration. This is what has lead to the cultural and
political evolution of India.
I would like to make another assertion that a person may be born an Indian
citizen but no one is truly born an Indian. We are raised as Indians, just as
anyone is never born into a particular religion, that person has to be raised
as a follower of that particular religion. The virtues of Indian-ness of the
kind I have mentioned have to be experienced. They cannot be imposed from the
outside or by laws. They are experienced and learned in the environment of a
child’s neighborhood, schools, colleges and work places before he or she can
truly imbibe them. Unfortunately the identity politics of J&K and the
retrograde state subject laws of J&K which have disallowed the population
of Kashmir valley to ever experience this Idea
of India, is today alienated from the population of rest of the country. I
can’t imagine how any logical person will propose the same conditions which
lead to the primary alienation of the population of the state as a solution to
the current separatist problem in the state.
Having made my case
against autonomy or conversion of article 370 which in my view is the root of
the difficult situation in J&K into a permanent provision in the
constitution I would like to assert that
I am in no way against decentralization of powers to the people at the local
level. Local body elections and strengthening of the Panchayats are perhaps a
more robust solution to delivering the experience of freedom to the masses of
the state as has been argued by Mr Wajahat Habibullah. But economic development
of the state is not possible without allowing economic migration of
professional, workers and businessmen from other states to J&K. The cities
in J&K can never become engines of economic growth unless they become
cosmopolitan like any small or big city of the country.
In order to imagine what solution exists for the current problems of
J&K one needs to look at the ways which will lead to the eventual peaceful
return of the Kashmiri minority population to their homes and their being able
to live in a peaceful environment where they are not deprived of any economic
activity. The separatist movement and separatist propaganda survives on the oxygen
of violence and international support including the primary source of violence
and propaganda in Pakistan.
Unless these two things are addressed and unless the freedom to local
population in form of a well functioning local democracy and uncorrupted administration
is delivered to the common people of the state in my view any other solution
will only serve the purpose of appeasing the separatists and eventually serve
the cause of destructive elements. Hopefully the government of India will not
take any decision in panic which will lead to a situation that can only be described
as consumption of the slow poison of arsenic out of an unfounded fear that the
only alternative is consumption of cyanide.